KalshiElections
How many Senate Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?
Before Nov 3, 2026
Ends Aug 28, 2026
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- 2199.5K VOL.Yes 100%No 1%100¢
- 3146.1K VOL.Yes 0%No 100%0¢
- 4 or more186K VOL.Yes 1%No 99%1¢
Rules Summary
If the number of Republican Senate members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 3, 2026 is exactly 2, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Jan 23, 2026, 9:00 PM
- Closes
- Aug 28, 2026, 3:50 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXLOSEPRIMARYSENATER · Event KXLOSEPRIMARYSENATER-26NOV03 · Market KXLOSEPRIMARYSENATER-26NOV03-2