KalshiElections

How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election?

On Sep 6, 2026

Ends Sep 6, 2027

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

36 or more91 VOL.
Yes 96%No 4%
96¢
38 or more1K VOL.
Yes 99%No 1%
99¢
40 or more3.8K VOL.
Yes 2%No 98%
2¢
42 or more5.5K VOL.
Yes 1%No 99%
1¢
44 or more783.6 VOL.
Yes 14%No 86%
14¢

Rules Summary

If Alternative for Germany (AfD) has won at least 36 seats in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 6:50 PM
Closes: Sep 6, 2027, 2:00 PM
Pays out: 0.5 hours after close

Series KXAFDSACHSEN · Event KXAFDSACHSEN-26SEP06 · Market KXAFDSACHSEN-26SEP06-AL36