KalshiElections

How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?

from January 1 to November 3, 2026

Ends Aug 24, 2026

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

Above 158.6K VOL.
Yes 99%No 1%
99¢
Above 203K VOL.
Yes 89%No 11%
89¢
Above 252.1K VOL.
Yes 86%No 14%
86¢
Above 301.2K VOL.
Yes 83%No 17%
83¢
Above 351.5K VOL.
Yes 74%No 26%
74¢

Rules Summary

If the number of Trump rallies is above 15 from January 1 to November 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: May 27, 2026, 8:30 PM
Closes: Aug 24, 2026, 3:00 PM
Pays out: 0.5 hours after close

Series KXTRUMPRALLIES · Event KXTRUMPRALLIES-26NOV03 · Market KXTRUMPRALLIES-26NOV03-A15