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KalshiPolitics

How many people will Trump pardon in 2026?

Before 2027-01-01T15:00:00.000Z

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • 25 to 495.2K VOL.
  • 50 to 99450 VOL.
  • 100 to 4992.2K VOL.
  • 500 to 999738 VOL.
  • 1000 or more665.5 VOL.

Rules Summary

If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to between 25 and 49 persons after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Jan 9, 2026, 3:00 PM
Closes
Jan 1, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXPARDONSYEAR · Event KXPARDONSYEAR-26DEC · Market KXPARDONSYEAR-26DEC-37