KalshiPolitics

How many new housing units will NYC permit in 2026?

in 2026

Ends Apr 1, 2027

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

Above 23,0000 VOL.
Yes 0%No 100%
0¢
Above 26,00025.1 VOL.
Yes 58%No 42%
58¢
Above 29,0000 VOL.
Yes 0%No 100%
0¢
Above 32,0000 VOL.
Yes 0%No 100%
0¢
Above 35,0000 VOL.
Yes 0%No 100%
0¢

Rules Summary

If the New York City Department of City Planning Housing Database’s citywide count of proposed Class A housing units in New Building jobs, measured by the date of first partial construction permit issuance is above 23,000 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 4:51 PM
Closes: Apr 1, 2027, 1:59 PM
Pays out: 0.5 hours after close

Series KXNYCSTAT · Event KXNYCSTAT-PERM26 · Market KXNYCSTAT-PERM26-A23000