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KalshiClimate and Weather

How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

In 2026

Ends Dec 2, 2026

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Above 010.3K VOL.
    Yes 45%No 55%
    45¢
  • Above 117.2K VOL.
    Yes 16%No 84%
    16¢
  • Above 235.3K VOL.
    Yes 5%No 95%
    5¢
  • Above 317.1K VOL.
    Yes 2%No 98%
    2¢
  • Above 412.9K VOL.
    Yes 2%No 98%
    2¢

Rules Summary

If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 0 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 2:00 PM
Closes
Dec 2, 2026, 4:59 AM
Pays out
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Series KXHURCTOTMAJ · Event KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01 · Market KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01-T0