KalshiElections
How many House seats will Democrats win in New York?
On Nov 3, 2026
Ends Nov 3, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Below 162.4K VOL.Yes 2%No 98%2¢
- 162K VOL.Yes 1%No 99%1¢
- 173K VOL.Yes 1%No 99%1¢
- 185K VOL.Yes 4%No 96%4¢
- 194.7K VOL.Yes 30%No 70%30¢
Rules Summary
If Democrats win below 16 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Aug 19, 2026, 2:00 PM
- Closes
- Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXHOUSEWINSTATE · Event KXHOUSEWINSTATE-NYD · Market KXHOUSEWINSTATE-NYD-B16

