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KalshiPolitics

How many government shutdowns in 2026?

in 2026

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • 233.3K VOL.
    Yes 62%No 38%
    62¢
  • 321.8K VOL.
    Yes 23%No 77%
    23¢
  • 41.8K VOL.
    Yes 6%No 94%
    6¢
  • 5860.1 VOL.
    Yes 7%No 94%
    7¢

Rules Summary

If the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) is exactly 2 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Feb 13, 2026, 3:00 PM
Closes
Jan 1, 2027, 2:59 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXNUMSHUTDOWNS · Event KXNUMSHUTDOWNS-27JAN01 · Market KXNUMSHUTDOWNS-27JAN01-T2