KalshiClimate and Weather

How many Central Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?

Central Pacific in 2026

Ends Dec 1, 2026

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

Above 1345.5 VOL.
Yes 99%No 1%
99¢
Above 21.9K VOL.
Yes 95%No 5%
95¢
Above 31.3K VOL.
Yes 85%No 15%
85¢
Above 41.3K VOL.
Yes 69%No 31%
69¢
Above 51.4K VOL.
Yes 52%No 48%
52¢

Rules Summary

If more than 1 hurricane of category 1 or above occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: May 15, 2026, 8:00 PM
Closes: Dec 1, 2026, 3:00 PM
Pays out: 0.5 hours after close

Series KXHURRICANE · Event KXHURRICANE-26DEC01CPACTOT · Market KXHURRICANE-26DEC01CPACTOT-1