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How low will the Google Gemini 3.5 Flash output token price (paid tier) get in 2026?

in 2026

Ends Apr 1, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • $8/MTok or below7.7K VOL.
    Yes 16%No 84%
    16¢
  • $7/MTok or below4.3K VOL.
    Yes 5%No 95%
    5¢
  • $6/MTok or below3.2K VOL.
    Yes 2%No 98%
    2¢
  • $5/MTok or below1.8K VOL.
    Yes 2%No 98%
    2¢

Rules Summary

If the Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash on https://ai.google.dev/gemini-api/docs/pricing#standard is at or below $8 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 7:00 PM
Closes
Apr 1, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXGEMINI35OY · Event KXGEMINI35OY-27 · Market KXGEMINI35OY-27-NA-8