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How low will the Claude Opus 4.8 output token price get in 2026?

in 2026

Ends Apr 1, 2027

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • $20/MTok or below8.7K VOL.
    Yes 4%No 96%
    4¢
  • $15/MTok or below7.3K VOL.
    Yes 13%No 87%
    13¢
  • $10/MTok or below7.5K VOL.
    Yes 2%No 98%
    2¢
  • $5/MTok or below10.1K VOL.
    Yes 5%No 95%
    5¢

Rules Summary

If the Output Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 on https://claude.com/pricing#api is at or below $20 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 7:00 PM
Closes
Apr 1, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXOPUS48OY · Event KXOPUS48OY-27 · Market KXOPUS48OY-27-NA-20