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KalshiEconomics

How high will unemployment get in 2026?

Before 2027

Ends Jan 8, 2027

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

  • Above 4.5%27.9K VOL.
  • Above 4.8%2.5K VOL.
  • Above 5%339.4K VOL.
  • Above 5.5%2.5K VOL.
  • Above 6%206.5K VOL.

Rules Summary

If any U.S. seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate for a month in 2026 is above 4.5%, the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Jun 22, 2026, 7:30 PM
Closes
Jan 8, 2027, 1:25 PM
Pays out
1 hour after close

Series KXU3MAX · Event KXU3MAX-27 · Market KXU3MAX-27-4.5