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KalshiEconomics

How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?

In 2026

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Above $100026.7K VOL.
    Yes 8%No 92%
  • Above $110011.4K VOL.
    Yes 8%No 92%
  • Above $120014.7K VOL.
    Yes 3%No 97%
  • Above $13002.5K VOL.
    Yes 5%No 95%
  • Above $1400826.2 VOL.
    Yes 6%No 94%

Rules Summary

If the average price of Urea (46-0-0) fertilizer in dollars per ton according to the United States Department of Agriculture’s Illinois Production Cost Reports is above $1000 after Issuance and before January 01, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 6:30 PM
Closes
Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXFERT · Event KXFERT-26 · Market KXFERT-26-1000