KalshiEconomics
How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?
In 2026
Ends Jan 1, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Above $100026.7K VOL.Yes 8%No 92%8¢
- Above $110011.4K VOL.Yes 8%No 92%8¢
- Above $120014.7K VOL.Yes 3%No 97%3¢
- Above $13002.5K VOL.Yes 5%No 95%5¢
- Above $1400826.2 VOL.Yes 6%No 94%6¢
Rules Summary
If the average price of Urea (46-0-0) fertilizer in dollars per ton according to the United States Department of Agriculture’s Illinois Production Cost Reports is above $1000 after Issuance and before January 01, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Mar 20, 2026, 6:30 PM
- Closes
- Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXFERT · Event KXFERT-26 · Market KXFERT-26-1000

