KalshiPolitics
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
after July 6, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027
Ends Jan 5, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Above 407.6K VOL.——
- Above 508.5K VOL.——
- Above 6025.4K VOL.——
- Above 7012.8K VOL.——
- Above 8011.3K VOL.——
Rules Summary
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 40 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Jul 9, 2026, 1:00 AM
- Closes
- Jan 5, 2027, 1:59 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXHORMUZAVG · Event KXHORMUZAVG-27JAN01 · Market KXHORMUZAVG-27JAN01-A40