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KalshiElections

Hawaii's 2nd District margin of victory

Hawaii's 2nd District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Democrats, 20+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢
  • Democrats, 23+ pts5 VOL.
    Yes 81%No 19%
    81¢
  • Democrats, 26+ pts15 VOL.
    Yes 83%No 17%
    83¢
  • Democrats, 29+ pts10 VOL.
    Yes 77%No 23%
    77¢
  • Democrats, 32+ pts1.9K VOL.
    Yes 53%No 47%
    53¢

Rules Summary

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Hawaii's 2nd District by 20 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:22 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-HI02D · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-HI02D-P20