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KalshiElections

Hawaii's 1st District margin of victory

Hawaii's 1st District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Democrats, 30+ pts346 VOL.
    Yes 91%No 9%
    91¢
  • Democrats, 33+ pts29 VOL.
    Yes 76%No 24%
    76¢
  • Democrats, 36+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢
  • Democrats, 39+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢
  • Democrats, 42+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢

Rules Summary

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Hawaii's 1st District by 30 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:22 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-HI01D · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-HI01D-P30