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KalshiElections

Hawaii Governor margin of victory

Hawaii Governor

Ends Nov 3, 2027

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Democrats, 14+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢
  • Democrats, 17+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢
  • Democrats, 20+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢
  • Democrats, 23+ pts400 VOL.
    Yes 75%No 25%
    75¢
  • Democrats, 26+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢

Rules Summary

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Hawaii by 14 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 2:00 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-HIGOVD · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-HIGOVD-P14