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KalshiElections

Georgia Senate margin of victory

On November 3, 2026

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Democrats, 2+ pts3.4K VOL.
    Yes 88%No 12%
    88¢
  • Democrats, 4+ pts4K VOL.
    Yes 79%No 21%
    79¢
  • Democrats, 6+ pts3K VOL.
    Yes 64%No 36%
    64¢
  • Democrats, 8+ pts5.5K VOL.
    Yes 45%No 55%
    45¢
  • Democrats, 10+ pts6K VOL.
    Yes 30%No 70%
    30¢

Rules Summary

If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 1:02 AM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-GASEND · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-GASEND-P2