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KalshiElections

Florida's 9th District margin of victory

Florida's 9th District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Democrats, 4+ pts7.2K VOL.
    Yes 15%No 85%
    15¢
  • Democrats, 7+ pts4.6K VOL.
    Yes 12%No 88%
    12¢
  • Democrats, 10+ pts4.2K VOL.
    Yes 14%No 86%
    14¢
  • Democrats, 13+ pts3K VOL.
    Yes 6%No 94%
    6¢
  • Democrats, 16+ pts2.1K VOL.
    Yes 5%No 95%
    5¢

Rules Summary

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Florida's 9th District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:22 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-FL09D · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-FL09D-P4