KalshiElections
Florida's 28th District margin of victory
Florida's 28th District
Ends Nov 3, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Republicans, 2+ pts300 VOL.Yes 82%No 18%82¢
- Republicans, 5+ pts65 VOL.Yes 79%No 21%79¢
- Republicans, 8+ pts2 VOL.Yes 74%No 26%74¢
- Republicans, 11+ pts154.4 VOL.Yes 69%No 31%69¢
- Republicans, 14+ pts280 VOL.Yes 53%No 47%53¢
Rules Summary
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Florida's 28th District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- May 5, 2026, 8:22 PM
- Closes
- Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-FL28R · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-FL28R-P2

