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KalshiElections

Florida's 21st District margin of victory

Florida's 21st District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Republicans, 1+ pts420 VOL.
    Yes 85%No 15%
    85¢
  • Republicans, 4+ pts65 VOL.
    Yes 75%No 25%
    75¢
  • Republicans, 7+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢
  • Republicans, 10+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢
  • Republicans, 13+ pts286 VOL.
    Yes 55%No 45%
    55¢

Rules Summary

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Florida's 21st District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:22 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-FL21R · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-FL21R-P1