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KalshiElections

Florida's 19th District margin of victory

Florida's 19th District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Republicans, 11+ pts55 VOL.
    Yes 80%No 20%
    80¢
  • Republicans, 14+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢
  • Republicans, 17+ pts152.4 VOL.
    Yes 64%No 36%
    64¢
  • Republicans, 20+ pts5 VOL.
    Yes 55%No 45%
    55¢
  • Republicans, 23+ pts5 VOL.
    Yes 47%No 53%
    47¢

Rules Summary

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Florida's 19th District by 11 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:22 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-FL19R · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-FL19R-P11