KalshiElections
FL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?
On Aug 18, 2026
Ends Aug 27, 2026
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Randy Fine, ≥50%7.7K VOL.Yes 1%No 99%1¢
- Randy Fine, 40-50%3K VOL.Yes 6%No 94%6¢
- Randy Fine, 30-40%7.3K VOL.Yes 99%No 1%99¢
- Randy Fine, 20-30%851.2 VOL.Yes 1%No 99%1¢
- Randy Fine, 10-20%1.1K VOL.Yes 2%No 98%2¢
Rules Summary
If the margin of victory for Randy Fine in the 2026 FL-06 Republican primary falls within 50% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- May 9, 2026, 12:00 AM
- Closes
- Aug 27, 2026, 12:54 AM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXPRIMARYMOV · Event KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY06R · Market KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY06R-RFIN-P75

