KalshiEconomics

Fed decision in Mar 2027?

On Mar 17, 2027

Ends Mar 17, 2027

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

Cut >25bps3.1K VOL.
Yes 2%No 98%
2¢
Cut 25bps2.7K VOL.
Yes 8%No 92%
8¢
Fed maintains rate5.7K VOL.
Yes 79%No 21%
79¢
Hike 25bps1.1K VOL.
Yes 10%No 90%
10¢
Hike >25bps1.4K VOL.
Yes 3%No 97%
3¢

Rules Summary

If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on March 17, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Oct 6, 2025, 2:00 PM
Closes: Mar 17, 2027, 5:59 PM
Pays out: 0.08 hours after close

Series KXFEDDECISION · Event KXFEDDECISION-27MAR · Market KXFEDDECISION-27MAR-C26