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KalshiEconomics

Fed decision in Jul 2027?

On Jul 28, 2027

Ends Jul 28, 2027

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Cut >25bps31.8K VOL.
    Yes 4%No 96%
  • Cut 25bps10.1K VOL.
    Yes 10%No 90%
    10¢
  • Fed maintains rate7.8K VOL.
    Yes 78%No 22%
    78¢
  • Hike 25bps2.2K VOL.
    Yes 7%No 93%
  • Hike >25bps1.2K VOL.
    Yes 2%No 98%

Rules Summary

If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on July 28, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Oct 6, 2025, 2:00 PM
Closes
Jul 28, 2027, 5:59 PM
Pays out
0.08 hours after close

Series KXFEDDECISION · Event KXFEDDECISION-27JUL · Market KXFEDDECISION-27JUL-C26