KalshiEconomics

Fed decision in Jan 2027?

On Jan 27, 2027

Ends Jan 27, 2027

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

Cut >25bps8.1K VOL.
Yes 5%No 95%
5¢
Cut 25bps11K VOL.
Yes 14%No 86%
14¢
Fed maintains rate27.6K VOL.
Yes 58%No 42%
58¢
Hike 25bps12.5K VOL.
Yes 19%No 81%
19¢
Hike >25bps6.2K VOL.
Yes 3%No 97%
3¢

Rules Summary

If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on January 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Sep 29, 2025, 2:00 PM
Closes: Jan 27, 2027, 6:59 PM
Pays out: 0.08 hours after close

Series KXFEDDECISION · Event KXFEDDECISION-27JAN · Market KXFEDDECISION-27JAN-C26