KalshiEconomics
European Central Bank rate decision in October
Oct 29, 2026 meeting
Ends Oct 29, 2026
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Cut more than 25bps938.1 VOL.Yes 2%No 98%2¢
- Cut 1-25bps554.1 VOL.Yes 6%No 94%6¢
- Maintain current rate3.1K VOL.Yes 55%No 45%55¢
- Hike 1-25bps3.7K VOL.Yes 47%No 53%47¢
- Hike more than 25bps486.1 VOL.Yes 24%No 76%24¢
Rules Summary
If the European Central Bank takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Aug 25, 2026, 6:00 PM
- Closes
- Oct 29, 2026, 1:14 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXCBDECISIONEU · Event KXCBDECISIONEU-26OCT29 · Market KXCBDECISIONEU-26OCT29-C25P