KalshiPolitics

Deportations in 2026?

FY2026

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

Above 200,0004.5K VOL.
Yes 99%No 1%
99¢
Above 300,0008.4K VOL.
Yes 99%No 1%
99¢
Above 400,00026.1K VOL.
Yes 99%No 1%
99¢
Above 450,00023.2K VOL.
Yes 26%No 74%
26¢
Above 500,00047.1K VOL.
Yes 8%No 92%
8¢

Rules Summary

If the number of ICE removals is above 200,000 in FY2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Feb 12, 2026, 3:00 PM
Closes: Jan 1, 2027, 2:59 PM
Pays out: 0.5 hours after close

Series KXDEPORTATIONS · Event KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01 · Market KXDEPORTATIONS-27JAN01-T200000