KalshiElections
Connecticut's 5th District margin of victory
Connecticut's 5th District
Ends Nov 3, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Democrats, 3+ pts1.6K VOL.Yes 93%No 7%93¢
- Democrats, 6+ pts4.8K VOL.Yes 88%No 12%88¢
- Democrats, 9+ pts3.3K VOL.Yes 79%No 21%79¢
- Democrats, 12+ pts2.1K VOL.Yes 67%No 33%67¢
- Democrats, 15+ pts1.8K VOL.Yes 52%No 48%52¢
Rules Summary
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Connecticut's 5th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- May 5, 2026, 8:20 PM
- Closes
- Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-CT05D · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-CT05D-P3

