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KalshiElections

Colorado's 4th District margin of victory

Colorado's 4th District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Republicans, 2+ pts260.3 VOL.
    Yes 59%No 41%
    59¢
  • Republicans, 5+ pts1.3K VOL.
    Yes 38%No 62%
    38¢
  • Republicans, 8+ pts300 VOL.
    Yes 30%No 70%
    30¢
  • Republicans, 11+ pts1.3K VOL.
    Yes 19%No 81%
    19¢
  • Republicans, 14+ pts574 VOL.
    Yes 8%No 92%
    8¢

Rules Summary

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Colorado's 4th District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:22 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-CO04R · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-CO04R-P2