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KalshiEconomics

California permitted housing units in 2026

2026

Ends Jan 27, 2027

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Above 100,0008.5K VOL.
    Yes 97%No 3%
    97¢
  • Above 105,0000 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
  • Above 110,00033.1 VOL.
    Yes 60%No 40%
    60¢
  • Above 115,0002.8K VOL.
    Yes 25%No 75%
    25¢
  • Above 120,0000 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%

Rules Summary

If California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in calendar year 2026 is above 100,000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 7:00 PM
Closes
Jan 27, 2027, 12:59 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXCABUILDPERMITS · Event KXCABUILDPERMITS-27JAN27 · Market KXCABUILDPERMITS-27JAN27-T100000