KalshiElections

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

On Oct 4, 2026

Ends Oct 4, 2027

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Lula da Silva, 0-5%2.3K VOL.
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Lula da Silva, 5-10%2.3K VOL.
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Lula da Silva, 10-15%4.6K VOL.
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Lula da Silva, ≥15%1.3K VOL.
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Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-5%643.9 VOL.
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Rules Summary

If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Apr 23, 2026, 4:00 AM
Closes: Oct 4, 2027, 2:00 PM
Pays out: 0.5 hours after close

Series KXBRPRES1MOV · Event KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26 · Market KXBRPRES1MOV-BRPRES26-LSIL-P2