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KalshiEconomics

August 2026 Employment Combo: U3 & NFP

For Aug 2026

Ends Sep 4, 2026

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k5.4K VOL.
    Yes 20%No 80%
    20¢
  • U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k2.5K VOL.
    Yes 91%No 9%
    91¢
  • U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 100k or above2.4K VOL.
    Yes 5%No 95%
  • U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: Below 50k5.2K VOL.
    Yes 5%No 95%
  • U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: 50-99k5.6K VOL.
    Yes 21%No 79%
    21¢

Rules Summary

If ALL of the following occur for Aug 2026: U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 9:00 PM
Closes
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXEMPLOYMENTCOMBO · Event KXEMPLOYMENTCOMBO-26AUGB · Market KXEMPLOYMENTCOMBO-26AUGB-4.1-50K