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KalshiClimate and Weather

Aug 2026 temperature increase?

In Aug 2026

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • 1.02999 or below1.8K VOL.
    Yes 2%No 98%
  • 1.04 to 1.094.6K VOL.
    Yes 1%No 99%
  • 1.10 to 1.167K VOL.
    Yes 1%No 99%
  • 1.17 to 1.234.7K VOL.
    Yes 1%No 99%
  • 1.24 to 1.307.2K VOL.
    Yes 1%No 99%

Rules Summary

If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Aug 2026 is below 1.03, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 2:00 PM
Closes
Sep 16, 2026, 3:59 AM
Pays out
1 hour after close

Series KXHMONTHRANGE · Event KXHMONTHRANGE-26AUG · Market KXHMONTHRANGE-26AUG-T1.03