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KalshiElections

Arizona's 9th District margin of victory

Arizona's 9th District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Republicans, 9+ pts3.1K VOL.
    Yes 84%No 16%
    84¢
  • Republicans, 12+ pts2K VOL.
    Yes 83%No 17%
    83¢
  • Republicans, 15+ pts3.8K VOL.
    Yes 68%No 32%
    68¢
  • Republicans, 18+ pts1.8K VOL.
    Yes 67%No 33%
    67¢
  • Republicans, 21+ pts1.2K VOL.
    Yes 54%No 46%
    54¢

Rules Summary

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 9th District by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:21 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ09R · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ09R-P9