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KalshiElections

Arizona's 8th District margin of victory

Arizona's 8th District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Republicans, 3+ pts3K VOL.
    Yes 81%No 19%
    81¢
  • Republicans, 6+ pts1K VOL.
    Yes 60%No 40%
    60¢
  • Republicans, 9+ pts258.9 VOL.
    Yes 54%No 46%
    54¢
  • Republicans, 12+ pts20 VOL.
    Yes 48%No 52%
    48¢
  • Republicans, 15+ pts1.3K VOL.
    Yes 24%No 76%
    24¢

Rules Summary

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 8th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:21 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ08R · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ08R-P3