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KalshiElections

Arizona's 7th District margin of victory

Arizona's 7th District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Democrats, 22+ pts2.1K VOL.
    Yes 95%No 5%
    95¢
  • Democrats, 25+ pts1K VOL.
    Yes 86%No 14%
    86¢
  • Democrats, 28+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢
  • Democrats, 31+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢
  • Democrats, 34+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢

Rules Summary

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 7th District by 22 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:21 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ07D · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ07D-P22