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KalshiElections

Arizona's 6th District margin of victory

Arizona's 6th District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Democrats, 1+ pts1.6K VOL.
    Yes 76%No 24%
    76¢
  • Democrats, 4+ pts1.7K VOL.
    Yes 47%No 53%
    47¢
  • Democrats, 7+ pts1.5K VOL.
    Yes 29%No 71%
    29¢
  • Democrats, 10+ pts1.9K VOL.
    Yes 17%No 83%
    17¢
  • Democrats, 13+ pts53 VOL.
    Yes 6%No 94%
    6¢

Rules Summary

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 6th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:20 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ06D · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ06D-P1