Bitcoin.com
KalshiElections

Arizona's 4th District margin of victory

Arizona's 4th District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Democrats, 4+ pts2K VOL.
    Yes 93%No 8%
    93¢
  • Democrats, 7+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢
  • Democrats, 10+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢
  • Democrats, 13+ pts503.7 VOL.
    Yes 56%No 44%
    56¢
  • Democrats, 16+ pts2.2K VOL.
    Yes 56%No 44%
    56¢

Rules Summary

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 4th District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:21 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ04D · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ04D-P4