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KalshiElections

Arizona's 3rd District margin of victory

Arizona's 3rd District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

  • Democrats, 39+ pts2.3K VOL.
    Yes 99%No 1%
    99¢
  • Democrats, 42+ pts2.3K VOL.
    Yes 96%No 4%
    96¢
  • Democrats, 45+ pts10 VOL.
    Yes 96%No 4%
    96¢
  • Democrats, 48+ pts2.3K VOL.
    Yes 91%No 9%
    91¢
  • Democrats, 51+ pts3.8K VOL.
    Yes 82%No 18%
    82¢

Rules Summary

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Arizona's 3rd District by 39 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:21 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ03D · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-AZ03D-P39