KalshiElections
Arizona Governor margin of victory
Arizona Governor
Ends Nov 3, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Republicans, 1+ pts2.1K VOL.Yes 13%No 87%13¢
- Republicans, 4+ pts1.3K VOL.Yes 9%No 91%9¢
- Republicans, 7+ pts376 VOL.Yes 6%No 94%6¢
Rules Summary
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Arizona by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Apr 29, 2026, 2:00 PM
- Closes
- Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-AZGOVR · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-AZGOVR-P1

