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KalshiElections

Arizona Governor margin of victory

Arizona Governor

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Democrats, 2+ pts2.9K VOL.
    Yes 79%No 21%
    79¢
  • Democrats, 5+ pts6.3K VOL.
    Yes 64%No 36%
    64¢
  • Democrats, 8+ pts2.9K VOL.
    Yes 38%No 62%
    38¢
  • Democrats, 11+ pts2.4K VOL.
    Yes 24%No 76%
    24¢
  • Democrats, 14+ pts710 VOL.
    Yes 13%No 87%
    13¢

Rules Summary

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Arizona by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 2:00 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-AZGOVD · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-AZGOVD-P2