KalshiElections

AR-04 House winner?

AR-04

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

James Russell1.8K VOL.
Yes 3%No 98%
3¢
Bruce Westerman3.1K VOL.
Yes 97%No 3%
97¢

Rules Summary

If the House member sworn in for AR-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Jan 7, 2026, 1:04 AM
Closes: Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out: 0.5 hours after close

Series KXHOUSERACE · Event KXHOUSERACE-AR04-26 · Market KXHOUSERACE-AR04-26-D