KalshiElections
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
Alabama's 5th District
Ends Nov 3, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Republicans, 10+ pts627 VOL.Yes 81%No 19%81¢
- Republicans, 13+ pts1.5K VOL.Yes 73%No 27%73¢
- Republicans, 16+ pts3.4K VOL.Yes 65%No 35%65¢
- Republicans, 19+ pts2.3K VOL.Yes 61%No 39%61¢
- Republicans, 22+ pts2.1K VOL.Yes 52%No 48%52¢
Rules Summary
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Alabama's 5th District by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- May 5, 2026, 8:21 PM
- Closes
- Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-AL05R · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-AL05R-P10

