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KalshiElections

Alabama's 1st District margin of victory

Alabama's 1st District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Republicans, 33+ pts3.2K VOL.
    Yes 47%No 53%
    47¢
  • Republicans, 36+ pts1.3K VOL.
    Yes 36%No 64%
    36¢
  • Republicans, 39+ pts1.2K VOL.
    Yes 25%No 75%
    25¢
  • Republicans, 42+ pts2K VOL.
    Yes 24%No 76%
    24¢
  • Republicans, 45+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢

Rules Summary

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Alabama's 1st District by 33 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:21 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-AL01R · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-AL01R-P33