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KalshiElections

2028 Presidential race: exact outcome

2028

Ends Jan 20, 2029

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Gavin Newsom defeats Marco Rubio10.5K VOL.
    Yes 3%No 97%
    3¢
  • Marco Rubio defeats Gavin Newsom15.8K VOL.
    Yes 1%No 99%
    1¢
  • Gavin Newsom defeats JD Vance16K VOL.
    Yes 9%No 91%
    9¢
  • JD Vance defeats Gavin Newsom17.7K VOL.
    Yes 10%No 90%
    10¢
  • Andy Beshear defeats JD Vance208.4 VOL.
    Yes 3%No 97%
    3¢

Rules Summary

If Gavin Newsom defeats Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 2:00 PM
Closes
Jan 20, 2029, 10:00 AM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXPRESOUTCOME · Event KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07 · Market KXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-GNEWMRUBD