KalshiElections
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Before Jun 30, 2027
Ends Jun 30, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon6 VOL.Yes 87%No 13%87¢
- Marine Le Pen41 VOL.Yes 86%No 14%86¢
- Édouard Philippe559 VOL.Yes 86%No 14%86¢
- Nathalie Arthaud8.8 VOL.Yes 77%No 23%77¢
- Jordan Bardella267 VOL.Yes 11%No 89%11¢
Rules Summary
If Jean-Luc Mélenchon is officially certified, approved, or confirmed to appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election before Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Jul 10, 2026, 2:00 PM
- Closes
- Jun 30, 2027, 2:00 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXFRPRESBALLOT · Event KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30 · Market KXFRPRESBALLOT-27JUN30-JMEL