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KalshiPolitics

2026: Trump's bad year?

Before 2027

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

  • Yes249.3K VOL.
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Rules Summary

If ALL of the following occur: Trump's VoteHub approval rating drops below 35% in 2026 AND Democrats win control of the House of Representatives after the midterms AND the U.S. enters a recession between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive) AND the U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) is at least 5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Dec 17, 2025, 3:00 PM
Closes
Dec 31, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXTRUMPBEARCASECOMBO · Event KXTRUMPBEARCASECOMBO-27DEC · Market KXTRUMPBEARCASECOMBO-27DEC-26

2026: Trump's bad year?