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Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Chance Over Time
Outcome
  • December 313%Yes 3¢No 97¢
  • December 31, 20250%Yes 0¢No 100¢
  • March 310%Yes 0¢No 100¢
  • January 310%Yes 0¢No 100¢
$14.2M vol

Market Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

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