Will Wales announce an independence referendum?

Disclosure

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Chance Over Time

OutcomeChanceTrade

Yes20%Yes 20¢No 80¢

$604 vol

Rules Summary

If Wales agrees to or announces a formal decision by the UK Government, UK Parliament, or a legally authorized Welsh authority to hold a referendum on Welsh independence after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.